Modeling of temperature and sunshine for a tunisian city
International Journal of Development Research
Modeling of temperature and sunshine for a tunisian city
Received 10th November, 2017; Received in revised form 07th December, 2017; Accepted 23rd January, 2018; Published online 28th February, 2018
Copyright © 2018, Chaima Baazaoui and Yacin Jerbi. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
By 2030, Tunisia expects a warmer and more variable climate. This climate change will lead to increased pressure on natural resources. This requires the effective integration of the environmental dimension into management and governance. This article addresses the climate change estimate needed for climate risk management. The purpose of this estimate is to determine, using the Box-Jenkins methodology and the ARCH / GARCH models, the future behavior of the average daily temperature and daily sunshine for aTunisian city over the period 01-01- 2004 to 31-12-2014. The modeling of the temperature and the sunshine is mainly for the evaluation of the energy produced by photovoltaic panels of customers installed in the governorate of Sfax.
